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Spoelstra is 7-7-1 ATS (50%) as an underdog in the NBA Finals in his head coaching career.Spoelstra is 7-1 ATS (87.5%) and 6-2 SU (75%) as a seven-to-nine-point underdog in the playoffs since the 2019-20 season.

Spoelstra is 26-12 ATS (68.4%) as a seven-to-nine-point underdog in both the playoffs and regular season combined since the 2015-16 season.Spoelstra is 30-24 ATS (55.6%) as an underdog in the playoffs since the 2015-16 season.Spoelstra is 141-112 ATS (55.7%) as an underdog in the regular season since the 2015-16 season.Here's a breakdown of how Spo has performed in various situations from a betting perspective. This year Spoelstra will go up against Mike Malone, who has never been to the Finals despite leading Denver to their first in franchise history. To put it in perspective, "Spo" as he is commonly referred to, has played seven undrafted players this postseason - the most undrafted players to play in a single postseason for a team that made the Finals since the 1966-67 season.

Much of the talk of the playoffs has been about the coaching expertise that Eric Spoelstra has demonstrated. They are just the third team in NBA history to rank last in points per game during the regular season and reach the NBA Finals. It’s also worth noting that the Heat were dead-last scoring during the regular season in points per game at 109.5, the only team not to average 110. When looking at Game 1 specifically, the Under has hit 19 of 32 times (59.4%) since 1991. Since 1991, the Under has hit in 97 of 176 Finals games with four pushes in that span (56.4%). Simply put, the Under historically hits in the NBA Finals. Favorites in that span went 23-6 SU (79.3%), further amplifying our above trend of a Nuggets win. When looking at the entire playoffs overall, teams with a week-plus of rest playing teams coming off four or fewer days of rest went 24-15 ATS (61.5%) and 28-11 SU (71.8%) from 2005 to 2022. Over the past 15 seasons, when a team with a week-plus of rest plays a team coming off four or fewer days of rest in Game 1 of the Conference or NBA Finals, the more rested team is 9-4 ATS (69.2%). The Nuggets played their last game on May 22nd, giving them nine days of rest before Game 1. While we just told you the Heat have a great shot at covering the spread, we’d be remiss if we didn’t present the data on teams with ample rest. Teams with more rest tend to cover the spread Denver is the fourth team to reach the NBA Finals and never face a team with a win percentage of 55% or above in the playoffs - joining the 1956 Warriors, 1957 Celtics, and 1959 Celtics. It’s worth noting that the Nuggets' road hasn’t been a particularly difficult one. Let’s take a look at what the data says for teams both against the spread (ATS) and straight up (SU)! With all this in mind, FOX Sports Research took a deep dive into various historical betting trends to give you the information necessary to make some profitable wagers during the Finals. The Nuggets currently sit at -400 to win the series, the second-largest odds to win the Finals in the last 16 seasons. On the other hand, top-seeded Denver will make their first appearance in the Finals in franchise history - led by two-time MVP Nikola Jokic. This is Miami’s seventh NBA Finals appearance since their first in 2006, the most of any team in that span.

They join the 1999 New York Knicks, who lost in five games to the San Antonio Spurs. The Heat are just the second eight-seed to make the Finals since the playoffs expanded to 16 teams in 1984. The Miami Heat avoided giving up the greatest comebacks in NBA history and will face the Denver Nuggets in the NBA Finals on Thursday, June 1.